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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.10vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.62+5.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.33vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+0.56vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-2.40vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-2.68vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.25-1.59vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-1.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-3.23vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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4.66Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.56Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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12.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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11.43Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 19.3% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Michael Reney | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 37.6% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 21.6% | 23.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.