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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.41vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.96+4.54vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+8.72vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.81+3.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+3.62vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-2.17vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-3.22vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-3.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.14-5.11vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.25-6.48vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.23-0.74vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-8.38vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.26University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Shane Riera | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 22.6% | 29.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 11.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 19.0% | 40.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.