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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.72vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+5.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+1.73vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+2.77vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.96+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09-0.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.38vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-2.30vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+3.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-1.02vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.23+0.49vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-3.84vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.20-1.08vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.92-8.04vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.81-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.38Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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14.49University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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11.16Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.92McGill University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Shane Riera | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 24.8% |
| Trevor Long | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colin Richards | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Borovick | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 28.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Alexa Ripple | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 23.7% | 30.1% |
| William Hawk | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.