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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+5.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+1.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+2.30vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.32vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+2.44vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.85vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.38vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.62-1.94vs Predicted
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11Boston University4.07-4.24vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-4.68vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-0.36vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-2.39vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.25-5.63vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.41-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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4.15Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.62Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.3% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Reney | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 36.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 20.0% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.