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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+3.79vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.64+2.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.88vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.28-0.50vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.26-1.51vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.73vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-2.05-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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4.57Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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2.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.5Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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3.49Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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4.63Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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7.63Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 2.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 3.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 43.1% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 14.6% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Baskin | 14.0% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 2.7% |
| Danielle Elson | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 29.7% | 6.3% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.