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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.92+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+4.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.48vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+0.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07-1.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26+0.57vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.25-1.24vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.06-1.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-4.03vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-2.28vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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4.18Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.57Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.76Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.31Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 15.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| John Stokes | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 19.3% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Michael Reney | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 47.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.