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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.26+2.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.15vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.28+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.19+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.15vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55-1.37vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.64-2.43vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-2.05-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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2.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.48Bates College1.280.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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4.63Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.57Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.63Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Baskin | 16.0% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 40.6% | 28.9% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 15.7% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Elson | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 27.5% | 6.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 3.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 2.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.