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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.10vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28+1.49vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.26+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.85vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64-0.50vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-1.71vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-2.05-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.49Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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3.53Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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4.5Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.62Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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7.62Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 43.2% | 27.2% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 15.0% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Baskin | 15.0% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 3.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 2.1% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 2.8% |
| Danielle Elson | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 29.3% | 6.3% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.