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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.06vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28+1.39vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.26+0.44vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University0.55+0.54vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.48-0.94vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-2.05-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.39Bates College1.280.2%1st Place
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3.44Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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4.54Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.34Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.54Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 44.6% | 26.4% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 15.6% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 15.4% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 2.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 1.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 2.7% |
| Martin Hooker | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 18.5% | 41.0% | 14.7% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 10.8% | 78.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.