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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.06vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28+1.38vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.55+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.48+2.06vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64-0.67vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.26-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-2.27vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-2.05-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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3.38Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.52Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.33Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.38Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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7.53Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 44.5% | 25.3% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 14.9% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 12.9% | 2.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 41.3% | 14.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 10.2% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 15.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 3.1% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 12.1% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.