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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.26vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.64+2.93vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.28+0.77vs Predicted
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4Bentley University1.03+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.29vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55-1.98vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.26-4.15vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.48-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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4.93Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.77Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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4.23Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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5.02Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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3.85Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 39.0% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 12.1% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.2% | 14.7% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 12.8% |
| Alexander Baskin | 14.3% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.