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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+3.28vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.26+0.82vs Predicted
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4Bentley University1.03+0.21vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.55+0.10vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.64-1.13vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.28-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.48-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.4%1st Place
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5.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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3.82Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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4.21Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.1Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.87Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.81Bates College1.280.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 39.3% | 26.0% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| Alexander Baskin | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 11.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 14.5% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.