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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+1.08vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+1.62vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.07+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.06-1.86vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.11-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02-1.96vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.55-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.4%1st Place
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3.62Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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6.05Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.14Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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4.41Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.1Wesleyan University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karplus | 44.6% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 14.5% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 34.5% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 7.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 7.1% |
| Warren Galloway | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.9% |
| Christian Lynch | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 32.5% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 4.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.