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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+1.05vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+1.59vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.11+1.42vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.55+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.06-1.92vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.07-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.4%1st Place
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3.59Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.42Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.24Wesleyan University-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.08Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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6.12Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karplus | 44.8% | 27.7% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Amy Macdonald | 14.2% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Warren Galloway | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Isaac Bode | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 34.6% |
| Christian Lynch | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.