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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.06+3.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02+2.95vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.55+0.21vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.11-1.53vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.37-3.42vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.18-3.38vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.07-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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2.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.4%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.21Wesleyan University-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.47Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.58Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.99Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Galloway | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Christos Karplus | 43.0% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Lynch | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 31.4% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 15.5% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 14.2% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.