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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+1.06vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+1.58vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.06+1.14vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.55+1.24vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.11-0.54vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.07+0.04vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.18-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.4%1st Place
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3.58Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.14Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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5.24Wesleyan University-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.46Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.04Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karplus | 43.8% | 28.2% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 14.6% | 18.5% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Warren Galloway | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Isaac Bode | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 32.5% |
| Christian Lynch | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 32.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.