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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.40vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+2.14vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+1.88vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07-0.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.17-1.47vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26+0.61vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-2.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.26vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+0.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.06-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.62-5.65vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.25-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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4.14Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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6.53Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.61Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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12.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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10.46Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.5% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| John Stokes | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Michael Reney | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 49.5% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.