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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+1.05vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.37+1.60vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.06+1.11vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.11+0.44vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.55+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-1.49vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.5%1st Place
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3.6Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.11Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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4.44Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.21Wesleyan University-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.14Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karplus | 45.3% | 26.3% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Amy Macdonald | 14.2% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Warren Galloway | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 8.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 7.2% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 9.3% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 35.8% |
| Christian Lynch | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.