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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.06+3.09vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.12vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.55+2.21vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.11+0.44vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.07+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.18-2.37vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.37-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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2.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.4%1st Place
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5.21Wesleyan University-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.44Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.08Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.49Bates College0.370.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Galloway | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 42.2% | 27.3% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abraham Kipnis | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Isaac Bode | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 31.3% |
| Christian Lynch | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 30.7% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 15.8% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.