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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.99vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.06+1.73vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.11+1.08vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.37-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-1.86vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.5%1st Place
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3.73Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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4.08Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.3Bates College0.370.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.36Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karplus | 46.1% | 27.6% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Warren Galloway | 11.1% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Amy Macdonald | 17.0% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Christian Lynch | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 35.8% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 10.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 23.9% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.