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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.98vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-1.07+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.02+2.39vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.06-0.20vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.37-1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-1.87vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.11-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.5%1st Place
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5.43Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.8Middlebury College0.060.1%1st Place
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3.36Bates College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.92Bentley University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Karplus | 47.2% | 25.4% | 16.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Bode | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 37.2% |
| Christian Lynch | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 36.5% |
| Warren Galloway | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 13.4% | 22.0% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 9.4% |
| Rachael Krawiecki | 11.4% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.