← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.60+7.69vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.29+7.90vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.56+2.47vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.84+4.01vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.46+4.22vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.23+4.36vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.09+0.07vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.93-3.63vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.94-1.19vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-3.08vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.98+0.15vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.62vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.93-5.19vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.09-6.80vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.25-4.84vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-0.27-0.07vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire0.05-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.69Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
9.9Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
-
5.47Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.01Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.22Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
-
10.36University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.07Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
-
4.37Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
7.81Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
11.15Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
-
7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
7.81University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.2Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
10.16University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
-
15.93Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
-
15.55University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dochoda | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Romain Screve | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 19.5% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Reynolds | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 6.5% | 28.1% | 55.9% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 37.8% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.