← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.29+8.75vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.09+5.01vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.60+5.83vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.46+5.42vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.84+2.81vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida2.25+4.26vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.09+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.98+2.23vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.56-4.53vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.93-6.50vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.95vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.93-5.20vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.23-3.66vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.94-7.34vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.05-0.45vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-0.27-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.75Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
-
7.01Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.83Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
-
9.42Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.81Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
10.26University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
-
7.13Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
-
11.23Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
-
5.47Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
4.5Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.8University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.34University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.66Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
15.55University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
-
15.96Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bram Brakman | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Reynolds | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Romain Screve | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 37.3% | 40.7% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 28.6% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.