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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+8.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.60+5.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+2.12vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.56-0.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+1.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-3.59vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-1.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.98+0.99vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.46-1.46vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.09-4.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.29-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-3.66vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-7.41vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.05-0.44vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.27-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.41Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.99Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.54Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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15.56University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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15.96Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 19.0% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Reynolds | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 38.1% | 40.3% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 29.2% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.