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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+8.85vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.56+3.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.39vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.08vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.09+1.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+0.13vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.94-0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.98+0.16vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.46-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-5.23vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.23-3.63vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.05+0.44vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.27-0.04vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.29-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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4.39Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.16Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.38Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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15.44University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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15.96Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Romain Screve | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Julia Reynolds | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 39.5% | 38.5% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 28.2% | 56.6% |
| Bram Brakman | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.