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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+6.62vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.56+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.25+6.94vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.28+5.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.94+2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-1.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09-0.01vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.60+0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.92vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.09-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23-0.80vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.29-3.04vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University2.46-4.63vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.98-4.14vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.27-0.09vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.05-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.32Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.94University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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4.43Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.37Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.86Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
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15.91Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
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15.54University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Romain Screve | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.6% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Reynolds | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 5.6% | 28.8% | 55.3% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 37.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.