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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+6.59vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.06+7.94vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.06vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.55vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.62+1.26vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07-1.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.26vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.25-2.40vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.71-8.05vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.70-2.61vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.92-10.81vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.94Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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7.63Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.43Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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4.95Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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4.19Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| John Stokes | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Carmody | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan White | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 21.4% | 20.9% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.2% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Reney | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.