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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.12vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.46+7.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+3.86vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.23+4.85vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60+2.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09-0.11vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.09-1.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.25-0.10vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.56-5.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.29-2.21vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.94-5.41vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.98-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.28-5.10vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.27-0.07vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.05-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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9.17Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.86Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.9Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.9University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.01Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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15.93Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
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15.48University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 20.4% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Romain Screve | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bram Brakman | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Reynolds | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 28.0% | 55.8% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 38.0% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.