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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+2.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.09+4.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+4.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.56+1.16vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.60+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.25+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.23+2.73vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.46+0.72vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.98+1.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.29-0.66vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.23vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.94-4.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.69-1.34vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.94vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.05+0.27vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.28-6.46vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.27-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College3.090.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.16Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.230.0%1st Place
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8.72Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.77Brown University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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15.27University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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15.86Middlebury College-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 22.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Greenhouse | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Romain Screve | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Reynolds | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Bram Brakman | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| leif Bergstrom | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 35.6% | 38.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Parker | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 27.5% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.