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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28+6.60vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+6.04vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.82+6.40vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+2.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.96+3.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38+4.88vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.15+1.34vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.62-1.58vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.59-2.35vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.90-4.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.13-0.52vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.76-3.44vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.27-2.94vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.92-9.37vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.0%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.4Harvard University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.88Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.42Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.65Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.06Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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15.4University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse McKnight | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Owen Schafer | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Paul de Souza | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 4.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chase Burwell | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 17.1% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 21.4% | 5.9% |
| Rowan Byrne | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 3.6% |
| Max Clapp | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.