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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.59+5.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28+5.70vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62+3.55vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+1.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38+5.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+2.23vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.90-1.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.82+1.18vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-4.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.96-1.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.75-4.88vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.76-2.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.27-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-2.53vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-6.67vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.86Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University1.820.0%1st Place
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4.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.12Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.11Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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15.41University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burwell | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jesse McKnight | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul de Souza | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 3.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Schafer | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Haig | 17.4% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 3.7% |
| Elliott Gear | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 23.5% | 5.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.