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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.96+7.71vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+6.07vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+5.24vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.59+2.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38+5.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.82+3.41vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.62-0.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-0.37vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-3.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13+1.58vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.31vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.76-2.49vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.90-7.37vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.27-2.95vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.99+0.30vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.07University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.83Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
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10.84Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.74Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.05Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
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15.3University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.19Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Freda | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Chase Burwell | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Paul de Souza | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 3.9% |
| Owen Schafer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jesse McKnight | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Max Clapp | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Gear | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 4.0% |
| Emily Haig | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 4.4% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 83.5% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.