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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.59+5.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.96+6.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+3.11vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+1.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62+1.59vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.16+1.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-0.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15-1.66vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.40vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.76-2.47vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.27-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-2.52vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.82-5.50vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.11Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.23University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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10.73Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.1Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University1.820.0%1st Place
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15.41University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Burwell | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Jesse McKnight | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Paul de Souza | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 3.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 17.9% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 4.2% |
| Elliott Gear | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 4.9% |
| Owen Schafer | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.