Race 12B

erwin-schell

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Christopher Segerblom 6.4% 6.3% 6.5% 7.4% 6.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.2% 8.3% 7.3% 8.0% 7.3% 5.7% 4.3% 2.7%
Kevin Martland 5.2% 6.6% 7.6% 6.4% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8% 7.5% 6.5% 9.7% 6.4% 8.0% 6.2% 5.3% 0.8%
Taylor Canfield 18.5% 17.6% 14.2% 9.9% 10.9% 9.2% 5.4% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Smith 7.3% 8.0% 7.6% 9.1% 7.1% 7.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 6.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2%
D.J. Hatch 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 7.8% 4.5% 7.2% 8.9% 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 7.9%
John Stokes 8.6% 8.7% 8.1% 8.3% 8.9% 9.1% 8.9% 8.8% 7.5% 7.7% 6.2% 4.0% 2.9% 2.1% 0.2%
Alec Anderson 15.7% 13.1% 14.3% 10.2% 10.8% 8.4% 7.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.3% 2.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Jonathan Duffett 4.9% 3.7% 5.4% 5.9% 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.6% 9.5% 9.1% 7.5% 4.2%
Ben Greenfield 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.6% 8.9% 9.3% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 6.4% 6.6% 5.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Andrew Sommer 6.3% 6.4% 6.2% 7.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 10.0% 8.1% 8.2% 6.2% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
Matthew Carmody 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 5.4% 6.5% 7.6% 6.5% 8.0% 9.4% 7.0% 8.5% 7.7% 6.9% 4.2%
Johnny Norfleet 5.3% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.2% 8.5% 8.6% 7.5% 8.9% 7.0% 7.2% 4.4% 1.5%
Michael Reney 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.6% 10.0% 17.1% 44.7%
Eric Decesar 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.6% 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 5.5% 6.9% 9.1% 10.1% 12.3% 14.0% 10.3%
Ryan White 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 5.7% 5.7% 7.2% 9.6% 10.8% 18.9% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.