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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+4.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.60vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+1.30vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+3.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.76+5.02vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.59+1.22vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.96+2.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.90-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13+1.98vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.13-2.32vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-4.52vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.16-5.49vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.15-6.26vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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4.3Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.22Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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4.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.48Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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15.48University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 1.8% |
| Chase Burwell | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austen Freda | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 13.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Gear | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 28.6% | 6.4% |
| Riley Read | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 4.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.