← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.49+3.27vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.59+5.08vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.92+3.00vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.96+5.45vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.16+3.63vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.90+0.20vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.62+0.11vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.08vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.50-1.60vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.76+0.07vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-2.32vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.13-3.28vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.13-1.18vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.15-5.44vs Predicted
-
15Brown University1.27-3.39vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.27Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
-
7.08Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.0Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.45Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
6.2Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.11Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
4.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
7.4Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.07Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
-
8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
-
8.72Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
-
11.82University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
11.61Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
-
15.47University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.3% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Burwell | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Max Clapp | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| Richie Gordon | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Riley Read | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Elliott Gear | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 25.6% | 5.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 5.0% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.