← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.76+8.78vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.49+2.36vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.16+5.58vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.92+2.20vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.59+2.15vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.78vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.89vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.62-1.12vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.96+0.24vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.50-2.46vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.90-4.85vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.31vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.13-4.36vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.27-2.58vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.13-2.96vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.78Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
-
4.36Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
-
8.58University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.2Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
-
7.15Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
-
8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
5.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.88Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
9.24Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
-
7.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.15Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.69University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
8.64Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
-
11.42Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.04University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
15.45University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Byrne | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Clapp | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Chase Burwell | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Haig | 14.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Riley Read | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 4.3% |
| Elliott Gear | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 29.1% | 6.5% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.