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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+5.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.96+7.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+1.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.87vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.59+2.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+1.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92-2.11vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.76+0.88vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.13-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-2.42vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-5.78vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.27-1.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.15-5.40vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.13-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University1.960.0%1st Place
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4.36Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.2Jacksonville University2.590.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.89Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.88Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.58University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.22Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.46Brown University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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15.47University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Austen Freda | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Chase Burwell | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Riley Read | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Aryaman Dutta | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 4.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Elliott Gear | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 28.5% | 6.4% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.