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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.28vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+1.16vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.34-0.49vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.47-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo-0.99-0.66vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.70-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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3.16Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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2.51Ocean County College0.340.3%1st Place
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3.6Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Buffalo-0.990.1%1st Place
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5.12Penn State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 33.7% | 29.5% | 19.8% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 17.3% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 5.3% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 28.4% | 24.0% | 24.6% | 15.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Declan Gaylo | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 22.8% | 9.6% |
| Austin Wyles | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 29.1% | 26.1% |
| Annelies McCann | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.