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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+10.25vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.62+8.69vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.53+11.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.33+2.39vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+4.66vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.83vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.17-0.06vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-1.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.69-0.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.16-3.59vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.84-3.00vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.20vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.61-4.32vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.25-8.22vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.90-3.17vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.93-8.69vs Predicted
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19University of Washington2.13-2.44vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.31-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.25University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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15.33Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.66Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.0Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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10.8SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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13.83Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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16.56University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 19.2% | 22.3% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| John Stokes | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| David Hernandez | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| William Brown | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 38.8% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.