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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+4.39vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+8.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+2.37vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.70+4.21vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.66vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.25vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.25-1.33vs Predicted
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12Boston University4.07-4.97vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-5.57vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-6.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.06-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.69Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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4.34Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.03Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.18Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 13.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Reney | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 42.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Ryan White | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 20.4% |
| Taylor Canfield | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 9.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Eric Decesar | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.