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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+0.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.83+1.19vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.72+0.04vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-0.80-0.84vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-2.07-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Virginia Tech0.470.5%1st Place
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3.19Webb Institute-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.04Syracuse University-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.16Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 51.4% | 26.8% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Blake Loncharich | 13.2% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 15.0% | 5.1% |
| Dane Brazinski | 15.4% | 22.2% | 23.5% | 23.6% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Sean Boland | 14.5% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 25.0% | 13.6% | 3.8% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 25.4% | 51.5% |
| Brendan McCue | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 32.2% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.