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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+0.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.83+1.16vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-2.35+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-2.07+0.71vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College-0.80-1.74vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.72-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Virginia Tech0.470.5%1st Place
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3.16Webb Institute-0.830.1%1st Place
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4.96Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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3.26Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.12Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 50.9% | 28.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Blake Loncharich | 14.5% | 21.1% | 23.0% | 22.2% | 13.6% | 5.6% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 23.5% | 50.0% |
| Brendan McCue | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 30.9% | 35.5% |
| Sean Boland | 13.3% | 18.8% | 24.3% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 5.7% |
| Dane Brazinski | 14.6% | 19.9% | 24.4% | 24.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.