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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+0.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.83+1.20vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-0.80+0.14vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-2.07-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Virginia Tech0.470.5%1st Place
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3.2Webb Institute-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.14Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.05Syracuse University-0.720.2%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 51.2% | 26.9% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Blake Loncharich | 13.1% | 22.2% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 15.0% | 5.1% |
| Sean Boland | 14.3% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 24.8% | 13.9% | 3.5% |
| Dane Brazinski | 15.9% | 19.8% | 25.6% | 23.9% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 25.3% | 51.7% |
| Brendan McCue | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 32.5% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.