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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+0.80vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College-0.80+1.16vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.83+0.18vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo-2.07-0.23vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.35-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Virginia Tech0.470.5%1st Place
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3.16Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.18Webb Institute-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.05Syracuse University-0.720.2%1st Place
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4.77University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
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5.04Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 50.8% | 27.7% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Boland | 13.8% | 22.2% | 23.5% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 4.6% |
| Blake Loncharich | 13.9% | 19.9% | 23.0% | 24.5% | 14.8% | 3.9% |
| Dane Brazinski | 16.0% | 20.0% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 12.2% | 2.9% |
| Brendan McCue | 2.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 31.6% | 37.6% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 24.7% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.