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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+0.80vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College-0.80+1.16vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.83+0.19vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.35+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-2.07-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Virginia Tech0.470.5%1st Place
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3.16Ocean County College-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.19Webb Institute-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.04Syracuse University-0.720.2%1st Place
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5.06Penn State University-2.350.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Buffalo-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 51.1% | 27.2% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sean Boland | 13.5% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 21.9% | 14.7% | 4.8% |
| Blake Loncharich | 14.0% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 25.4% | 14.5% | 4.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 15.9% | 20.1% | 25.2% | 24.1% | 11.8% | 2.9% |
| Tiffany Snyder | 2.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 25.6% | 51.5% |
| Brendan McCue | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 32.0% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.