← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.95+2.65vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia-0.11+3.38vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University0.21+1.90vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington1.07-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.75-2.50vs Predicted
-
7University of British Columbia0.99-3.33vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University0.52-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
5.38University of British Columbia-0.110.0%1st Place
-
4.9Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.58University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
-
2.5Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
-
3.67University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.3Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 6.9% |
| Laura Stewart | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 40.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 21.8% | 25.6% |
| Laura Smit | 15.6% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Chloe Dawson | 31.7% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Eric Lyall | 14.8% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.