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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.49vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.21+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.95+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.99-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.11+0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.07-2.45vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.52-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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4.9Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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3.64University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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5.45University of British Columbia-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 34.3% | 24.7% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 25.4% |
| Connor Hughes | 12.9% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 6.7% |
| Eric Lyall | 15.9% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Laura Stewart | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 41.3% |
| Laura Smit | 16.3% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.