← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.95+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University0.21+2.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington1.07+0.52vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.75-1.50vs Predicted
-
5University of British Columbia-0.11+0.47vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia0.99-2.34vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.52-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64University of Washington0.950.2%1st Place
-
4.91Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.52University of Washington1.070.2%1st Place
-
2.5Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
-
5.47University of British Columbia-0.110.0%1st Place
-
3.66University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.29Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hughes | 16.1% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 25.0% |
| Laura Smit | 16.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Dawson | 32.9% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Laura Stewart | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 42.5% |
| Eric Lyall | 14.9% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.