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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.21+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+1.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.99-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.42+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.95-2.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-0.11-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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2.56Western Washington University1.750.3%1st Place
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3.87University of British Columbia0.990.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Victoria-0.420.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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5.7University of British Columbia-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wilkinson | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| Laura Smit | 14.1% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Chloe Dawson | 32.0% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Eric Lyall | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Steven Dieleman | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 40.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 14.2% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 9.7% |
| Laura Stewart | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.